NIW Cohort Tracker

Transparent EB-2 NIW cohort signals for regular-processing cases near your filing date.

Private MVP · Oct 6, 2026

Your case

Priority date: Jul 26, 2025
437
days since priority date
Relative position in current seeded cohort
58th percentile
This percentile is an observed-sample indicator, not a USCIS probability forecast.
Observed cases
126
May–Sep 2025 cohort
Approved
43
34.1% of observed cohort
Pending
71
56.3% of observed cohort
Approvals · 30d
9
↗ active in sample

Monthly approval speed

Cumulative approvals
SeptemberOctober
This MVP uses a seeded observation set to validate the dashboard. Automatic source ingestion is the next step; no metric here should be treated as an official USCIS statistic yet.

Decision-age snapshot

Completed regular cases
MeasureObserved age
25th percentile391 days
Median468 days
75th percentile526 days
Oldest approval617 days
Interpretation: your case age is already within the range where approvals appear in the observed regular-processing cohort, but individual USCIS adjudication remains highly variable.

Cases similar to yours

Illustrative seed rows
FiledProcessingStatusDecision / ageSource class
May 19, 2025RegularApprovedOct 2, 2026 · 501dPublic tracker
Jun 11, 2025RegularApprovedSep 28, 2026 · 474dPublic tracker
Jul 08, 2025RegularPending455dCommunity report
Jul 29, 2025RegularRFESep 22, 2026 · 420dCommunity report
Aug 14, 2025RegularPending418dPublic tracker
Sep 03, 2025RegularApprovedOct 4, 2026 · 396dPublic tracker
Data integrity rule: premium-processing cases are excluded from regular-processing speed calculations. Duplicate reports should be deduplicated before entering the cohort.